This assessment prepared for DPI by prominent writer, columnist and former Wise Persons’ Committee Member, Ali Bayramoğlu, explores the internal and external dimensions of the current political situation in Turkey and assesses the country’s direction and likely scenarios in terms of its political order and foreign policy. The paper contributes to DPI’s ongoing evaluation of the situation in Turkey which takes into account different views and perspectives, at a time of significant political change, both externally and internally, and not least in the run-up to elections in June 2018. The views and opinions expressed in the assessment are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official position of DPI.